Model: - | Data Latest: - | Generated: -
Historical Sorties (60 Days) + 7-Day Forecast (近60天實際值 + 7天預測)
Predicted vs Actual Values (歷史預測 vs 實際值)
Prediction Error Over Time (預測誤差趨勢)
Prediction History (預測歷史記錄)

Showing all predictions with actual values when available

Date Day Predicted Actual Error 95% CI High Prob. Risk
About the Prediction Model
Ensemble Model (v2.0)
  • Combines normal activity and high-activity models
  • Uses political signals (3-day and 7-day windows)
  • Incorporates day-of-week patterns
  • Provides confidence intervals
Risk Level Definitions
  • LOW - Normal activity expected
  • MEDIUM - Elevated activity possible
  • HIGH - High activity likely